There is a lot of debate in Edmonton right now, about whether it is the right time to buy or not. The timing of a home purchase depends on many factors including your personal finances, goals and desires, as well as external factors such as affordability, the economy, financing availability and more.
I can't answer when the best time to buy for every individual is, but I'd like to put something in perspective.
The above image is something I quickly put together to represent a snapshot of the housing market. The red line represents average prices over a short period of time - real estate prices tend to rise and fall on the short term, while rising overall on the long term.
The green arrow represents where everyone wants to buy: when prices are as low as they can get in the current economic climate. The problem is, you never know when the market is at the green arrow until a few months afterwards. What ends up happening is that most of the people who were waiting for the green arrow realize prices are on the rise somewhere around the blue arrow, and come into the market together creating competition and causing prices to rise further. All the while the selection of homes for sale shrinks.
Now, I don't know exactly where we are on that red line right now, (I'll probably be able to tell you in a couple of months...lol). Anyway, for argument's sake, lets say we're about where the red arrow is; there is a huge selection of properties available on the market, and relatively little competition. Prices have dropped and may drop a little further, but there is potential for an increase in the short term as well.
For as rocky as things have been in the stock markets the and media lately, it looks like prices may have come down only .9% for January. Not exactly cause for panic. However, there are good and bad stats out there, and as I said earlier, you have to make your own decisions based on your personal circumstances.
So in the end what I'm trying to get at, is that you can aim for the green arrow, but don't get stuck with everyone else at the blue arrow. If you shop at the red arrow (when most people are reluctant to enter the market) you'll have more to choose from, more negotiating power, and less competition.... as long as you can swallow prices dropping a little further before they start to pick up again.
***Foot note***
- If you are one of the many people who are currently looking at buying be aware that different areas, different price ranges, and different types of products are performing differently. You should be working with someone who knows what's going on and what represents good value in this market.
- There is clearly a divergence occurring in the market between well priced or competitively priced properties and over-priced properties.
- Buyer activity is reminiscent of late late 2006 and early 2007, although sales will probably not reflect that as buyers are taking longer to make decisions. Things are moving, some are moving quickly, but there is also a lot a crap on the market at outrageous prices.















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